c**********e
发帖数: 2007 | 1 Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida
Posted by CNN's Gregory Wallace
(CNN) – New state polls in Ohio and Florida are divided about the state of
the presidential race in these two key battlegrounds.
In Ohio, arguably the most important of the battlegrounds, a NBC News/Wall
Street Journal/Marist poll released Saturday showed Obama with 51% of likely
voters and Romney at 45%. The CNN/ORC International Poll released Friday
found the Buckeye State slightly tighter and within the sampling error: 50%
for Obama to 47% for Romney.
It's a slightly different picture in Florida, where two polls show a close
race but split on who has the advantage. The NBC poll showed Obama with a
slight advantage over Romney, 49% to 47%, while a Mason Dixon Poll conducted
in the same time period, Wednesday and Thursday, had Romney at 51% and
Obama at 45%.
Obama enjoyed a high approval in both states of his handling of Superstorm
Sandy, which battered the East Coast this past week and caused both
campaigns to cancel campaign events.
The NBC/WSJ poll found that among likely voters in Florida - a state which
has seen hurricanes and major storms - 70% approved of his response to Sandy
, while 11% disapproved. Seventy three percent of likely voters in Ohio
approved and 7% disapproved.
The two states are the largest prizes listed as toss up states on the CNN
Electoral Map, and both will see attention from the candidates in the final
three days before Election Day.
Obama holds an advantage among early voters in both states, according to the
NBC/WSJ polls, while Romney enjoys the advantage among those who plan to
vote on Election Day. The survey found 63% of Florida voters plan to vote
before Tuesday or already have voted.
However the Mason Dixon Florida poll - conducted for Bay News 9, Central
Florida News 13, Tampa Bay Times, Miami Herald, and the El Nuevo Herald -
found Romney with a 53% to 45% advantage among those voting absentee and a
50% to 47% among those voting early in-person.
Voters were nearly tied - putting the candidates within two points of one
another - on who would best handle the economy, according to the NBC/WSJ
survey. Romney has the slight advantage in Florida, while the slight
advantage goes to Obama in Ohio.
Both states also have races for the U.S. Senate. In Florida, the NBC/WSJ
poll found Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson is ahead of Republican Rep. Connie
Mack, 52% to 43%, and in Ohio, Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown has an
advantage over Republican State Treasurer Josh Mandel, 50% to 45%.
The NBC/WSJ poll in Ohio included 971 likely voters and had a sampling error
of plus or minus 3.1 points. Their Florida sample included 1,545 likely
voters with a sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 points. Voters both NBC/
WSJ polls were reached by telephone on October 31 or November 1.
The Mason Dixon poll included 800 likely voters reached by telephone in
Florida and was conducted between October 30 and November 1. It had a
sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 points. |
l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 2 CNN的POLL也好意思现出来？CNN的POLL是给O8的拥趸看的，让他们不要心灰意冷，PUSH
他们去投票。 |
l**1
发帖数: 1875 | 3 Romney loses Ohio!
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】
: CNN的POLL也好意思现出来？CNN的POLL是给O8的拥趸看的，让他们不要心灰意冷，PUSH
: 他们去投票。
|
c**********e
发帖数: 2007 | 4 In Ohio：
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll：Obama 51% versus Romney 45%.
The CNN/ORC International Pol了： Obama 50% versus Romney 47%.
Florida:
NBC News Poll：Obama 49% versus Romney 47%.
Mason Dixon Poll： Obama 45% versus Romney 51%.
老罗在俄亥俄好像没戏，但好像要赢佛罗里达. |
l**1
发帖数: 1875 | 5 very good results!
zan
【在 c**********e 的大作中提到】
: In Ohio：
: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll：Obama 51% versus Romney 45%.
: The CNN/ORC International Pol了： Obama 50% versus Romney 47%.
: Florida:
: NBC News Poll：Obama 49% versus Romney 47%.
: Mason Dixon Poll： Obama 45% versus Romney 51%.
: 老罗在俄亥俄好像没戏，但好像要赢佛罗里达.
|
l**********1
发帖数: 2980 | 6 左媒的POLL也好意思现出来？左媒的POLL是给O8的拥趸看的，让他们不要心灰意冷，
PUSH他们去投票。 |
l**1
发帖数: 1875 | 7 you only have two days to jump around!
you grasshopper after fall.
【在 l**********1 的大作中提到】
: 左媒的POLL也好意思现出来？左媒的POLL是给O8的拥趸看的，让他们不要心灰意冷，
: PUSH他们去投票。
|
w**w
发帖数: 5391 | 8 Obama连任已经是一定的了。搞不好，还是大败，几个重要的swing states可能一个都
拿不到。
of
likely
%
【在 c**********e 的大作中提到】
: Polls split on race in Ohio, Florida
: Posted by CNN's Gregory Wallace
: (CNN) – New state polls in Ohio and Florida are divided about the state of
: the presidential race in these two key battlegrounds.
: In Ohio, arguably the most important of the battlegrounds, a NBC News/Wall
: Street Journal/Marist poll released Saturday showed Obama with 51% of likely
: voters and Romney at 45%. The CNN/ORC International Poll released Friday
: found the Buckeye State slightly tighter and within the sampling error: 50%
: for Obama to 47% for Romney.
: It's a slightly different picture in Florida, where two polls show a close
|
c**********e
发帖数: 2007 | 9 intrade 赌盘的概率是最可靠的预测。目前奥巴马的概率是66%。老罗也是有希望的。
只剩72个小时了。到时候概率要末变成 1，要么变成 0.
【在 w**w 的大作中提到】
: Obama连任已经是一定的了。搞不好，还是大败，几个重要的swing states可能一个都
: 拿不到。
:
: of
: likely
: %
|
t***h
发帖数: 5601 | 10 从选举人票的分布来看, 俄亥俄州更重要.
【在 c**********e 的大作中提到】
: In Ohio：
: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll：Obama 51% versus Romney 45%.
: The CNN/ORC International Pol了： Obama 50% versus Romney 47%.
: Florida:
: NBC News Poll：Obama 49% versus Romney 47%.
: Mason Dixon Poll： Obama 45% versus Romney 51%.
: 老罗在俄亥俄好像没戏，但好像要赢佛罗里达.
|
f*********g
发帖数: 1637 | 11 #6, is Wall Street Journal 左媒? |
k**l
发帖数: 2966 | 12 you know, left or right depends on who they are in favor of this time
:)
【在 f*********g 的大作中提到】
: #6, is Wall Street Journal 左媒?
|
t***h
发帖数: 5601 | 13 Most people would say: No.
【在 f*********g 的大作中提到】
: #6, is Wall Street Journal 左媒?
|
