X*****s
发帖数: 2767 | 1 Mark Arbeter：S&P's chief technical analyst
这个股评家经常出现在thestreet的每日review，记者经常会登出他的一些评论，从来
没有图，但是多数是看多的。我有印象的两次，一次是4/1的唱多
http://www.thestreet.com/story/11478496/1/market-preview-more-r
里面提到“The detail on why the S&P 500 may shoot up to 1550 in the second
quarter gets a bit, well, technical, so here's the breakdown from Arbeter.
"First off, the highs from 2000 and 2007 both come in near 1,550, and
therefore, represent key long-term chart resistance," he wrote. "Trendline
resistance, off the highs in April 2010, February 2011, and April 2011,
comes in at 1,550 when projecting out to the June/July period. Trendline
support, off the lows in October, November, and December 2011 crosses the
above-mentioned trendline at 1,550 in the June/July period."
结果没到1550，6/4还跌到了1280.
最近他的一个评论又引人侧目，8/13的文章里他说道"The market doubters seem to
be lurking everywhere, with consistent calls for recessions, bear markets,
and even market crashes," he wrote on Friday. "This, in our view, is
extremely bullish, and will probably leave many on the sidelines shaking
their heads. We believe all the sideline money, i.e., the enormous funds in
money markets and Treasurys, is ample fuel for the stock market to post
outsized gains as rising prices force many bears to capitulate and enter the
market."......"We see the S&P 500 heading up to 1,450 by September, 1,500
by October, and potentially as high as 1,600 by the first quarter of 2013."
这个链接里有他的预测准确度，是54%，不知道这个统计准确与否，
http://www.cxoadvisory.com/2480/individual-gurus/mark-arbeter/ | Y********e
发帖数: 2445 | | i***h
发帖数: 12655 | 3 随机游泳
【在 Y********e 的大作中提到】
: 赞！54%的预测准确度是个什么概念？
| h*h
发帖数: 18873 | 4 thestreet。com上评论员（或分析员）有些是不怎么靠谱 |
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