z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 1 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
发信人: znprc (znprc), 信区: Military
标 题: 关于59-61大饥荒的最新研究，含文献综述
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 16 01:48:23 2011, 美东)
http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/research/downl
林毅夫就是研究这个成的名
Studies have found that weather can only explain 30-50% of the fall (Kueh,
1994; Li and Yang,
2005). Past works have hypothesized that the fall in production was
associated with Great Leap Forward
(GLF) era policies such as labor and acreage reductions in grain production
(e.g., Peng, 1987; Yao,
1999), implementation of radical programs such as communal dining (e.g.,
Yang, 1996; Chang and Wen,
1997), reduced work incentives due to the formation of the people’s
communes (Perkins and Yusuf, 1984),
and the denial of peasants’ rights to exit from the commune (Lin, 1990). Li
and Yang (2005) found that
amongst these hypotheses, grain procurement and labor diversion away from
agriculture for GLF projects
were the most important contributors to the fall in production in 1959.
Our study is most closely related to Li and Yang (2005) which uses a dynamic
model to argue that
erroneous expectations of production caused over-procurement in 1959, which
in turn reduced inputs for
agricultural production (e.g. labor was weakened, and seeds were consumed by
hungry peasants) in 1960,
leading to a further decline in production. They calculate grain retention
after procurement in 1959 to
be 223kg per person and in 1960 to be 212 kg per person, which we argue is
not low enough to cause
17-30 million to die absent distributional problems. Importantly, and in
contrast to our work, they do
not describe or discuss the positive correlation between grain productivity
and famine severity which is
a large focus of our study. See Yang (2008) for a recent review of the
studies on the causes of China’s
famine. | R*******N
发帖数: 7494 | 2 这个最公道的版本是黎阳老先生的。林同学就是在体制内混，他那些垃圾给黎阳提鞋都
不配。
production
【在 z***c 的大作中提到】
: 【 以下文字转载自 Military 讨论区 】
: 发信人: znprc (znprc), 信区: Military
: 标 题: 关于59-61大饥荒的最新研究，含文献综述
: 发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 16 01:48:23 2011, 美东)
: http://www.economics.utoronto.ca/index.php/index/research/downl
: 林毅夫就是研究这个成的名
: Studies have found that weather can only explain 30-50% of the fall (Kueh,
: 1994; Li and Yang,
: 2005). Past works have hypothesized that the fall in production was
: associated with Great Leap Forward
| n*******e
发帖数: 1141 | | z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 4 综述
ftp://repec.econ.vt.edu/Papers/Yang/Survey-CES-Yang-VT.pdf
【在 n*******e 的大作中提到】
: mark
| z***c
发帖数: 2959 | 5 黎阳那点杂碎和严肃的学术分析一比就是个垃圾。
最公道的版本靠你的嘴的下结论？
你不懂就少张嘴，林毅夫的一系列文章全都是批评人民公社制度和大跃进，你以为
他在为体制唱赞歌？
【在 R*******N 的大作中提到】
: 这个最公道的版本是黎阳老先生的。林同学就是在体制内混，他那些垃圾给黎阳提鞋都
: 不配。
:
: production
| z***y
发帖数: 13818 | 6 林成天研究这些, 最后得到的结论是必须投靠中共?
这个人的思维逻辑的确强大. |
|
