l**d
发帖数: 189 | 1 This time it’s likely we will be in a full-scale war with China very soon:
Meghnad Desai
Desai, a Padma Bhushan recipient, said it is important to understand the
Chinese thought process because they are “much more nationalistic,
militaristic and aggressive” this time.
INDIA Updated: Aug 04, 2017 20:51 IST
Indo Asian News Service, New Delhi
Meghnad Desai says if a war is to break out , it will see the US and India
on one side and China on the other.
Meghnad Desai says if a war is to break out , it will see the US and India
on one side and China on the other.(HT File Photo)
With India, the US and China forming a “very combustible mixture right now
”, the fate of the ongoing Doklam standoff would largely depend upon events
in the South China Sea, noted commentator on international affairs, Meghnad
Desai said.
If a war is to break out in the two theatres, which he predicted will begin
very soon, it will see the US and India on one side and China on the other.
“I cannot say what day or date but I think at this time it is very likely
that we will be in a state of full-scale war with China very soon. And mind
you, on several fronts, not just Doklam. It is just one frontier, they will
start from all places, across the northern Himalayas,” Desai said.
Desai, a Labour Peer in the British House of Lords, did not consider the
Doklam standoff a mere India-China issue but rather equated it to the geo-
political tensions across the globe, primarily in the South China Sea.
“Even today, nobody is contemplating that the whole Doklam thing could
break anytime. We could be in a full scale war with China within a month. At
that stage it will not be controllable. It may come as a surprise, but that
is when the defence co-operation of India (with various countries) will
bear fruit,” Desai told IANS in an interview.
But is a war really likely to break out?
“I am not a jyotisi (astrologer). I cannot say what day or date but I think
at this time it is very likely that we will be in a state of full-scale war
with China very soon. And mind you, on several fronts, not just Doklam. It
is just one frontier, they will start from all places, across the northern
Himalayas,” Desai, a recipient of the Padma Bhushan, India’s third highest
civilian honour, claimed.
He said that India and the US have an “implicit defence relationship” and
that the two countries can safely rely on each other. When asked
specifically on the expected reaction of the United States in case there is
a war between India and China and whether Washington would stand shoulder-to
-shoulder with India, Desai responded: “Absolutely”.
“Ultimately, you have to understand that India cannot stand up to China
without American help and support. America cannot stand up to China without
Indian help. That is the symmetry in this relationship,” he elaborated.
Read more
Doklam standoff: China warns India, says restraint has ‘bottom line’
Chinese social media abuzz with ‘statements’ on Doklam standoff warning
India to pull back
Desai maintained that “China is the central problem” in the way the
American vision is constructed. When asked about the possibility of any
backchannel discussions with the US on the Doklam standoff, Desai said that
there were not just backchannel negotiations in play but it was being dealt
with at the highest level by President Donald Trump and Prime Minister
Narendra Modi, who talk directly to each other.
“I am sure we are not told everything that is going on. But my worry is
even though India will not openly become militaristic but have we got the
preparedness for it?” Desai said.
“All things that follow now will have a lot to do with what happens in the
South China Sea. The US has sent out enough signals. If there is war, it
will be a US-China war, with India on the US side, in the South China Sea
and in the Himalayas. This trio is a very combustible mixture right now,”
he contended.
He said that it is important to understand the Chinese thought process
because they are “much more nationalistic, militaristic and aggressive”
this time.
“I am sure we are not told everything that is going on. But my worry is
even though India will not openly become militaristic but have we got the
preparedness for it? We may have things in place. I just wish and hope that
we are prepared for a very tough war which may last for a long time,” he
predicted.
Desai also suggested that India should not make the mistake of equating the
Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) with the Pakistani Army.
“I think, from past experience, we always assume that we are well prepared
but you will be fighting one of the finest armies in the world. It is a very
powerful army and I think they also have (much) training in mountain
warfare. So, according to me, it will be a very tough fight for India. Don’
t be mistaken that this will be easy. It is not Pakistan. The Pakistani Army
is the same set of people. They come from the same army traditions and they
have the same thinking but the Chinese are very different,” he reiterated.
Desai also expressed his disappointment over “the lack of talent on the top
” of the ruling NDA government. “Arun Jaitley is a very good friend of
mine but you can’t have a person handling both the finance and the defence
ministries,” he said and suggested that it is perhaps high time that the
defence ministry was again made an exclusive portfolio, so that the
concerned minister could focus entirely on it.
The Doklam stand-off began in mid-June near the tri-junction of India, China
and Bhutan when Indian troops moved in to prevent China from constructing a
road on Bhutanese territory on the Doklam plateau. China claims the Doklam
plateau is a part of South Tibet.
Earlier this week, China claimed India had partially withdrawn its troops,
which New Delhi firmly denied. | l**d
发帖数: 189 | 2 要点：
“我不能说什么日子或日期，但我认为很可能很快就会和中国发生全面战争。而且是在
几条战线上，而不是只是Doklam，它只是一个前沿，战争将从各个地方开始爆发，遍及
喜马拉雅山北部，“德赛说。德赛并没有把德克拉姆的对峙视为一个中印问题，而是把
它与全球各地的地缘政治紧张局势相提并论，主要是在南中国海。
标题：这一次，很可能我们很快就会和中国大规模的战争：Meghnad Desai
Desai，Padma Bhushan的接受者，他说，了解中国思想过程是非常重要的，因为这次“
民族主义，军国主义和侵略性”更为重要。
Meghnad Desai说如果一场战争要爆发，那么美国和印度就会联手对付中国。
Meghnad Desai说，随着印度，美国和中国形成“现在非常易燃的混合物”，正在进行
的德克拉姆对峙的命运将在很大程度上取决于南中国海事件。
如果一场战争爆发，他预计会在很短的时间里开始，那么美国和印度就站在一起，中国
站在另一边。
英国上议院的劳动同伴德赛并没有把德克拉姆的对峙视为一个中印问题，而是把它与全
球各地的地缘政治紧张局势相提并论，主要是在南中国海。
“即使在今天，没有人在考虑，整个Doklam的事情都可以随时爆发。我们可能在一个月
内与中国进行全面战争。在那个阶段，它将无法控制。这可能是一个意外，但那时印度
（与各国）的防务合作将会结出硕果，“Desai在接受IANS采访时说。
但战争真的有可能爆发吗？
“我不是占星家，无法预测什么日子或日期，但我认为在这个时候很快就会和中国发生
全面的战争，而且是在多条战线，而不只是Doklam。Desai享有印度第三高的平民荣誉
称号。他表示，这是一个前沿，将从所有地方开始，遍及喜马拉雅山北部。“
他说，印度和美国建立了“隐性的防御伙伴关系”，两国可以安全地依靠彼此。当专门
询问美国在印度和中国发生战争以及华盛顿与印度之间肩并肩的情况下的预期反应时，
德赛回答说：“绝对的”。
“最终你必须明白，没有美国人的帮助和支持，印度就不能对付中国。没有印度的帮助
，美国也无法对付中国。这是一种对称性的关系，“他阐述。
德赛认为，在美国愿景的构建中，中国是核心问题。当被问及在Doklam对峙方面与美国
进行任何反通道谈话的可能性时，Desai表示，不仅仅是在通道上进行谈判，而是在唐
纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）总理和总理纳伦德拉·莫迪（Narendra Modi）的最高
级别直接进行对话。
“现在所有事情都与南海发生的事情有很大的关系。美国发出了足够的信号。如果有战
争，那将是美中战争，印度在美国，南中国海，喜马拉雅山。这个三重奏是一种非常易
燃的混合物，“他辩称。
他说，了解中国的思想进程，因为这次“民族主义，军国主义和进攻性”更为重要。
“我确信我们没有告诉我们一切事情。但是我担心的是，即使印度不会公开地成为军国
主义，但是我们有为此做好准备吗？我们可能会有事情到位我只是希望并希望我们准备
好可能持续很长时间的艰苦战争。“他预测。
德赛还表示，印度不应该把中国人民解放军与巴基斯坦军队相提并论。
“我认为，从过去的经验来看，我们总是认为我们做好了准备，但是你们将会与世界上
最优秀的军队作斗争。这是一个非常强大的军队，我认为他们也有（很多）山地战争的
训练。所以，根据我的说法，这将是对印度的一场艰苦的斗争。不要误会这会很容易。
这不是巴基斯坦。巴基斯坦军队是同一群人。他们来自同样的军队传统，他们有同样的
想法，但中国人是非常不同的，“他重申。
德赛对于执政党缺乏“顶级人才”表示失望。 “Arun Jaitley是我的一个很好的朋友
，但你不能有一个同时能够处理财政和国防事务的人，”他说，并且建议也许是国防部
再次成为独家部门的时候了，所以有关官员可以专心关注国防事务。
6月中旬，印度，中国和不丹三国交界处的Doklam对峙开始，当时印度军队进驻以防止
中国在Doklam高原不丹领土上建设一条道路。中国称，Doklam高原是南西藏的一部分。
本周早些时候，中国声称印度部分撤军，新德里则予以坚决否认。 | w******o
发帖数: 726 | 3 一句話，中國要準備戰鬥，不能再啊Q了。中國老是宋相公，外囯人不懂。 | k*******g
发帖数: 7321 | 4 然后印军给美军喝了点恒河水，美军全部拉稀回国修养。 | t*******z
发帖数: 606 | 5 以中美每年5000亿美元的贸易来看。美国不可能和中国打起来。否则不但iPhone 立刻
断货，很多商品立刻断货或者无货，导致严重物价危机。 | i***n
发帖数: 187 | | p*a
发帖数: 7676 | | f**********d
发帖数: 4960 | 8 别的不说，美国卖了印度分分钟的事儿。
【在 l**d 的大作中提到】
: This time it’s likely we will be in a full-scale war with China very soon:
: Meghnad Desai
: Desai, a Padma Bhushan recipient, said it is important to understand the
: Chinese thought process because they are “much more nationalistic,
: militaristic and aggressive” this time.
: INDIA Updated: Aug 04, 2017 20:51 IST
: Indo Asian News Service, New Delhi
: Meghnad Desai says if a war is to break out , it will see the US and India
: on one side and China on the other.
: Meghnad Desai says if a war is to break out , it will see the US and India
| g********x
发帖数: 7361 | 9 呵呵，阿三的公知与大陆的公知真是一丘之貉啊，全方面跪舔美帝 | l**d
发帖数: 189 | 10 haha,常公附体
【在 g********x 的大作中提到】
: 呵呵，阿三的公知与大陆的公知真是一丘之貉啊，全方面跪舔美帝
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