v***h
发帖数: 245 | 1 最近看到不少分析师在大叫银子已经到顶。
其实银子短期有震荡，中期仍然十分看好。 一两百块的银子不足为奇。
银价历史BY WIKI，古代银价折合800美元/盎司。
Price
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Silver#History
At an April 2011 price of about $49 USD per troy ounce,[47] silver is about
1/30th the price of gold. The ratio has varied from 1/15 to 1/100 in the
past 100 years.[48]
In 1980, the silver price rose to a peak for modern times of US$49.45 per
troy ounce (TO) due to market manipulation of Nelson Bunker Hunt and Herbert
Hunt.[citation needed] Some time after Silver Thursday, the price was back
to $10/TO.[49] By December 2001, the price had dropped to US$4.15/TO, and in
May 2006, it had risen back as high as US$15.21/TO. In March 2008, silver
reached US$21.34/TO.[50] In late April 2011, silver reached an all-time high
of $49.76/TO.
In earlier times, silver has commanded much higher prices. In the early 15th
century, the price of silver is estimated to have surpassed $800 per ounce,
based on 1998 dollars.[51] The discovery of massive silver deposits in the
New World during the succeeding centuries has caused the price to diminish
greatly.
金银的上一次顶峰都是FED加息到10%以上，一年后才结束的,1980年。
Paul Volcker in wiki,Paul Volcker 与1979年加息到11%
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Volcker
Paul Volcker, a Democrat,[6] was appointed Chairman of the Federal Reserve
in August 1979 by President Jimmy Carter and reappointed in 1983 by
President Ronald Reagan.[7]
Volcker's Fed is widely credited with ending the United States' stagflation
crisis of the 1970s. Inflation, which peaked at 13.5% in 1981, was
successfully lowered to 3.2% by 1983.[8]
Volcker raised the federal funds rate, which had averaged 11.2% in 1979, to
a peak of 20% in June 1981. The prime rate rose to 21.5% in 1981 as well.
现在的情况，银子的用途都远好于七十年代，所以不轻易言顶，才是明智的。 |
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