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发帖数: 2273 | 1 Washington (CNN) -- The gridlock and partisanship that threatens to ruin
Christmas in Washington could be an election year gift for President Barack
Obama's campaign.
A growing number of voters , 50% compared to 44% in March, trust Obama to
solve the nation's problems while the percentage of those with faith in
congressional Republicans is slipping, according to a CNN/ORC International
Poll.
CNN Poll: President's approval nearing 50%
For the Obama team, the poll numbers seem to validate the president's fall
and winter strategy: Intone the jobs message like a mantra while squaring
off against a do-nothing Congress and congressional Republicans in
particular.
"We can't wait for an increasingly dysfunctional Congress to do its job.
Where they won't act, I will," the president told a Las Vegas audience in
October.
Congress has accomplished a few things, passing trade bills and a tax credit
for unemployed veterans. But thanks to repeated failed votes on elements of
the jobs bill and leaving town for the holidays with a payroll tax
extension unresolved, the lasting image is one of inaction.
McCain: Payroll tax cut showdown 'harming' the GOP
Call it a self-inflicted wound.
When the president began the jobs push with his speech to Congress on
September 8, his approval rating was at 43%. The new CNN/ORC Poll shows it
now at 49%. That's the highest it has been since Osama Bin Laden was killed
and up 5 points since November.
What's happened in a month?
On December 6, the president doubled down on his jobs message with a speech
in Kansas in which he promised to work toward an economy that promotes
fairness and opportunity for all Americans.
"I believe that this country succeeds when everyone gets a fair shot, when
everyone does their fair share and when everyone plays by the same rules. ..
. They're American values, and we have to reclaim them," he said.
Boehner: 'I need the president to help'
Meanwhile, Congress has failed to pass an extension of a payroll tax cut,
which could cost $1,000 a year for an average family and affects about 160
million Americans.
Obama calls House to vote on extension
The president's campaign aides also see the poll numbers as a reaction to a
contentious Republican primary.
"These numbers will go up and down. But the debates over the last few months
have clearly had an impact," said Stephanie Cutter, Obama 2012 deputy
campaign manager. "On one side they've seen a president fighting to reclaim
the security of the middle class and on the other side a group of people
sort of paying lip service to the middle class, then actively working
against them. That doesn't go unnoticed and the data is beginning to show
that.
"There's a difference between putting middle class in your talking points
and actually doing something about what they're going through."
Republicans are quick to point out that the president is starting from
historic lows for an incumbent.
"These numbers are better than they were in November but it's nothing to be
jumping up and down about. Instead of being really, really bad, it's just
really bad for the president," said Republican pollster Ed Goeas.
The CNN/ORC Poll also shows that the Republican brand has suffered. Only 43%
of voters have a favorable view of the Republican Party, down 6 points
since June, while the numbers for the Democratic Party have held steady at
55%. The view of the GOP has slipped since the debt-ceiling debacle and top
Democratic operatives are convinced the Republican Party has taken more of
the blame for the gridlock in Washington. They believe the GOP is likely to
take a further hit if the payroll tax cuts aren't extended.
However, it's unclear how the payroll tax cuts standoff will play in the end
, because Obama's re-election hopes are tied to the overall health of the
economy.
If Congress fails to act, recession would be a "significant threat," said
Mark Zandi of Moody's Analytics. And few fates are worse for an incumbent
president than running against a recession. |
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