g********2 发帖数: 6571 | 1 Trump cracks the Electoral College lock
A new round of state polls shows Donald Trump suddenly has a path to 270
electoral votes.
By Steven Shepard
09/15/16 07:53 PM EDT
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-electoral-college-polls-228249#ixzz4KNYBBYMW
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook
Just six weeks ago, Hillary Clinton's advantage in the Electoral College
looked insurmountable. Now, based on the latest round of public polls, it's
a different story.
If the election were held today, Donald Trump would apparently win roughly
as many electoral votes as Hillary Clinton — who held a commanding lead in
early August and seemed to be closing off all possible Trump routes to 270
electoral votes.
But state polling averages, which can be lagging indicators, are beginning
to show Trump in the lead. According to POLITICO’s Battleground States
polling average, Trump is now ahead in Iowa and Ohio — and he’s tied with
Clinton in vote-rich Florida.
A slightly more aggressive estimate could add Nevada, North Carolina and one
electoral vote in Maine to Trump’s tally: The New York real-estate magnate
is ahead in the most recent polls in Nevada and North Carolina, and in
Maine’s Second Congressional District.
That, plus all the other states Mitt Romney won four years ago, would get
Trump to 266 electoral votes — just four shy of the 270 needed to win.
Clinton’s once-comfortable cushion has been deflated to such an extent that
if Trump wins those states and the electoral vote in Maine, he only needs
one more state to win — with Colorado, Michigan, New Hampshire,
Pennsylvania and Virginia the most likely targets. And there’s recent
polling evidence suggesting he is in striking distance in some of those
states.
......
Read more:
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-electoral-college-polls-228249#ixzz4KNY1bily
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook | j***j 发帖数: 1997 | 2 iowa trump lead by 8 points
s
【在 g********2 的大作中提到】 : Trump cracks the Electoral College lock : A new round of state polls shows Donald Trump suddenly has a path to 270 : electoral votes. : By Steven Shepard : 09/15/16 07:53 PM EDT : Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-electoral-college-polls-228249#ixzz4KNYBBYMW : Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook : Just six weeks ago, Hillary Clinton's advantage in the Electoral College : looked insurmountable. Now, based on the latest round of public polls, it's : a different story.
| p*****n 发帖数: 3678 | 3 7 月份 iowa 还是 dead heat, tie, 现在是 trump has a commanding lead.
【在 j***j 的大作中提到】 : iowa trump lead by 8 points : : s
| j**********r 发帖数: 3798 | 4 Colorado的poll是+4,这就是说就算左逼作弊,Trump的民调也领先了。 | l*y 发帖数: 21010 | | z***e 发帖数: 5600 | 6 NC保住, OH FL拿下后,IA/NV/CO/NH四取三就够了,现在最新的POLL已经过269了
PA最近的大POLL还没出,说不定也接近反转了
中西部MI/WI也开始拉近,再后就是东部的NJ/RI/VA,看Clinton有没有能量救火了
【在 j**********r 的大作中提到】 : Colorado的poll是+4,这就是说就算左逼作弊,Trump的民调也领先了。
| q*c 发帖数: 9453 | 7 还突然,太搞笑。
闯爷早就大幅领先,无非是左 x 民调要挣钱罢了。为了挣钱,民调必须接近。
越接近大选,就越靠近真相,因为毕竟最后纸包不住火,报社为了自己那可怜的名声也
不可能面对事实彻底偏离。
我一早就预测了这个现象,果然接着左派就跟着演出。
美帝称霸才几十年, 作为一个还算有点良心的霸主,称霸时间还太短,美帝气数未尽。
s
【在 g********2 的大作中提到】 : Trump cracks the Electoral College lock : A new round of state polls shows Donald Trump suddenly has a path to 270 : electoral votes. : By Steven Shepard : 09/15/16 07:53 PM EDT : Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/donald-trump-electoral-college-polls-228249#ixzz4KNYBBYMW : Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook : Just six weeks ago, Hillary Clinton's advantage in the Electoral College : looked insurmountable. Now, based on the latest round of public polls, it's : a different story.
| j*********9 发帖数: 87 | 8 Trump's chance is still low based on FivethirtyEight website.
So keep going.. | g********2 发帖数: 6571 | | t*******d 发帖数: 12895 | | s********o 发帖数: 1237 | | d**********r 发帖数: 24123 | |
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