h*******n
发帖数: 8906 | 1 涓瘒姣旇緝鏈夋暟鎹殑鍒嗘瀽鏂鏁版嵁閮藉緢鏂鍙互鐪嬩竴鐪br />
https://
theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/10/25/current-vote-trends-show-trump-will-
carry-florida-by-close-to-ten-points-55-45/
Voted-by-Mail (Returned)
鈾Rep: 556,058 ( 52,426 from 10/24)
鈾DEM: 525,076 ( 42,057 from 10/24)
Other: 34,176 ( 2,669 from 10/24)
No Party Affiliation: 208,124 ( 19,933 from 10/24)
Total Returned: 1,323,434 ( 117,085 from 10/24)
#Trump(Rep): 42.0% ( 0.3% from 10/24)
#HRC(Dem): 39.7% (-0.3% from 10/24)
Other: 2.6% (same from 10/24)
No Party Affiliation: 15.7% ( 0.1% from 10/24)
24,007 more registered Democrats have Voted Early as of 10/24
Early Voting (Only)
鈾Rep: 109,034
鈾DEM: 133,041
Other: 6,650
No Party Affiliation: 42,724
Total Returned: 291,449
#Trump(Rep): 37.4%
#HRC(Dem): 45.6%
Other: 2.3%
No Party Affiliation: 14.7
NOTE: 17 Counties don鈥檛 start Early Voting until Saturday, October 29th.
杩7涓幙閮芥槸鏈夊埄浜庡簥閾虹殑base I looked at the Vote-by-Mail (
Returned) for each County and had the following distribution:
#Trump(Rep): 40,748
#HRC(Dem): 30,304
Other: 2,888
No Part Affiliation: 12,082
鐢ㄤ簡涓や釜浼拌鐨勬暟鎹涓釜鏄笉鎶昿arty line寰鏍规嵁 Rasmussen
poll 16%D鎶昍 12%R鎶旸 搴婇摵寰% 杩樻湁涓暟鎹甪ox poll 搴婇摵鍐嶄腑闂撮
姘戜腑馃埗锔%鐨勪紭鍔br />
R 鈥585,281 (R voting for Trump) 105,299 (D voting for Trump) 135,458
(I voting for Trump) 22,046 (Other voting for Trump) = 848,084 Total Votes
D 鈥552,818 (D voting for HRC) 79,811 (R voting for HRC) 115,390 (I
voting for HRC) 18,780 (Other voting for HRC) = 766,799
Trump = 52.5%
HRC = 47.5%
鑰冭檻宸撮┈2012骞磂arly vote璧簡5%鏈粓浠%鑳滃嚭 杩欎綅浣滆棰勬祴搴
婇摵鏈粓鍥炰互55%瀵5%澶ц儨浣涘窞 | t*c
发帖数: 6929 | 2 CNN今天早上说只是clear lead， 意思是10%以内，
但以后会说Commending lead,means 10% above. | m****g
发帖数: 2215 | 3 10% is too optimistic.
Trump is leading for sure.
65533;
will-
【在 h*******n 的大作中提到】
: 涓瘒姣旇緝鏈夋暟鎹殑鍒嗘瀽鏂鏁版嵁閮藉緢鏂鍙互鐪嬩竴鐪br />
: https://
: theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/10/25/current-vote-trends-show-trump-will-
: carry-florida-by-close-to-ten-points-55-45/
: Voted-by-Mail (Returned)
: 鈾Rep: 556,058 ( 52,426 from 10/24)
: 鈾DEM: 525,076 ( 42,057 from 10/24)
: Other: 34,176 ( 2,669 from 10/24)
: No Party Affiliation: 208,124 ( 19,933 from 10/24)
: Total Returned: 1,323,434 ( 117,085 from 10/24)
| j**********r
发帖数: 3798 | 4 gop always led in election day, if dem doesn't build a big lead in early
vote, it's game over. | f********a
发帖数: 4239 | 5 多攒人品，分配给其他摇摆州。赢0.1%足矣
65533;
will-
【在 h*******n 的大作中提到】
: 涓瘒姣旇緝鏈夋暟鎹殑鍒嗘瀽鏂鏁版嵁閮藉緢鏂鍙互鐪嬩竴鐪br />
: https://
: theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/10/25/current-vote-trends-show-trump-will-
: carry-florida-by-close-to-ten-points-55-45/
: Voted-by-Mail (Returned)
: 鈾Rep: 556,058 ( 52,426 from 10/24)
: 鈾DEM: 525,076 ( 42,057 from 10/24)
: Other: 34,176 ( 2,669 from 10/24)
: No Party Affiliation: 208,124 ( 19,933 from 10/24)
: Total Returned: 1,323,434 ( 117,085 from 10/24)
| f********k
发帖数: 745 | |
|
