d******8
发帖数: 1972 | 1 New Predictions - Last Updated - 01 May 2011
http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/02/prediction-for-eb
China
Optimistic: 6/1/2007
Realistic: 3/8/2007
Worst : 1/1/2007
Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date movement for Fiscal Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below. This data is further used to calculate spillover that would be available for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on visa allotment available each year for each country and total spillover that is expected in FY 2011. In each case, Optimistic, Realistic and Worst-Case scenario is predicted.
We have added new sections for PWMB and Porting under calculation that will calculate PWMB based on August visa bulletin cut-off date. We should only consider demand due to porting and PWMB upto August visa bulletin cut-off date for predicting EB2-IC movement for FY 2011. Any demand after August visa bulletin cut off date will not affect EB2-IC movement for this fiscal year. Please assume "August visa bulletin" cut-off date and this will change PWMB and Porting numbers based on our calculations. These field is also User ENTERED. Individuals can also enter current visa bulletin date to see new demand for PWMB.
Our worst-case scenario is based on 28,000 unused EB1 visa numbers and EB2-ROW-M-P demand of 30,600. For our worst case scenario we expect August Visa Bulletin to reach cut-off date of 1st November 2006. As per these assumptions EB2-IC PD dates would hardly reach 01 January 2007.
Our realistic scenario is based on 24,000 unused EB1 visa numbers and EB2-ROW-M-P demand of 28,600. For our realistic case scenario we expect August Visa Bulletin to reach cut-off date of 1st November 2006. In this case, EB2-IC PD dates would reach 08 March 2007.
Our optimistic scenario is based on 20,000 unused EB1 visa numbers and EB2-ROW-M-P demand of 26,600. For our optimistic case scenario we expect August Visa Bulletin has to reach cut-off date of 1st January 2007. This bring more porting numbers. In this case, EB2-IC PD dates would reach 01 June 2007.
All these assumptions is based on receiving atleast 5974 unused visa numbers from EB5. Any huge reduction in number will make dates moving difficult. In this cases dates will hardly cross December 2006. | i****r
发帖数: 1803 | | s******0
发帖数: 1340 | | H*V
发帖数: 2770 | 4 dream ba
Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below)
which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released
for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on
Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for
each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below.
This data is further used to calculate spillover that would b: e available
for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on visa allotment available each
year for each country and total spillover that is expected in FY 2011. In
each case, Optimistic, Realistic and Worst-Case scenario is predicted.
will calculate PWMB based on August visa bulletin cut-off date. We should
only consider demand due to porting and PWMB upto August visa bulletin cut-
off date for predicting EB2-IC movement for FY 2011. Any demand after August
visa bulletin cut off date will not affect EB2-IC movement for this fiscal
year. Please assume "August visa bulletin" cut-off date and this will change
PWMB and Porting numbers based on our calculations: . These field is also
User ENTERED. Individuals can also enter current visa bulletin date to see
new demand for PWMB.
【在 d******8 的大作中提到】
: New Predictions - Last Updated - 01 May 2011
: http://us-non-immigrants.blogspot.com/2011/02/prediction-for-eb
: China
: Optimistic: 6/1/2007
: Realistic: 3/8/2007
: Worst : 1/1/2007
: Here is the Prediction for EB2 Category cutoff date movement for Fiscal Year 2011. Basis for this prediction is simple calculations (see below) which is done based on available data i.e. visa statistics recently released for CY 2010, PERM data published by DOL for CY 2010, latest trend on Trackitt for EB2 cases and other published data by USCIS. Demand data for each dependent category is predicted and explained in calculations below. This data is further used to calculate spillover that would be available for EB2 category. Dates are predicted based on visa allotment available each year for each country and total spillover that is expected in FY 2011. In each case, Optimistic, Realistic and Worst-Case scenario is predicted.
: We have added new sections for PWMB and Porting under calculation that will calculate PWMB based on August visa bulletin cut-off date. We should only consider demand due to porting and PWMB upto August visa bulletin cut-off date for predicting EB2-IC movement for FY 2011. Any demand after August visa bulletin cut off date will not affect EB2-IC movement for this fiscal year. Please assume "August visa bulletin" cut-off date and this will change PWMB and Porting numbers based on our calculations. These field is also User ENTERED. Individuals can also enter current visa bulletin date to see new demand for PWMB.
: Our worst-case scenario is based on 28,000 unused EB1 visa numbers and EB2-ROW-M-P demand of 30,600. For our worst case scenario we expect August Visa Bulletin to reach cut-off date of 1st November 2006. As per these assumptions EB2-IC PD dates would hardly reach 01 January 2007.
: Our realistic scenario is based on 24,000 unused EB1 visa numbers and EB2-ROW-M-P demand of 28,600. For our realistic case scenario we expect August Visa Bulletin to reach cut-off date of 1st November 2006. In this case, EB2-IC PD dates would reach 08 March 2007.
| n**********1
发帖数: 1534 | | b********2
发帖数: 625 | | s*****y
发帖数: 493 | 7 个人非常希望越快越好。可这个预测似乎可能性不大。
手里有点现钱，整天盘算要不要买房子呢。如果真的有这么快，
我会考虑尽早买个房，日子会过得舒适点。 |
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