n****8
发帖数: 294 | | f*******e
发帖数: 5277 | | m*********r
发帖数: 182 | 3 RUN RUN RUN!
I would sell before ER! (YMYD)
I sold all my TSLA position this morning. it may go up before ER but I don't
care at all..
【在 n****8 的大作中提到】
: 大家怎么看?
: Any upside?
| n****8
发帖数: 294 | 4 Tesla Motors , Inc. will deliver its first-quarter earnings report Wednesday
after the market closes. Here’s what to watch:
EARNINGS FORECAST: Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect a quarterly
operating loss of 50 cents per share compared with 12 cents for the first
quarter last year. Revenues are expected to grow 46% to $1.04 billion from $
713 million. The Silicon Valley electric-car maker’s share price has risen
22.3% since the end of the first quarter, with part of those gains being
built on the announcement of a new stationary battery business that isn’t
dependent on the auto industry. The first-quarter report will sharpen focus
on a core car business that has failed to generate profits. Tesla previewed
its performance at the beginning of April, saying it sold a record 10,030
vehicles during the first three months of 2015 despite low energy prices
that are slowing demand for other electric cars.
GIGAFACTORY: After telling investors it would announce a grid-scale battery
pack as well as a home battery, Tesla will be pressed for an update on the
so-called gigafactory currently under construction in Nevada and slated to
start production in 2017. The $5 billion plant is expected to lower Tesla’s
battery production costs, but it is also the cornerstone of a plan to
dramatically increase output over the next six years.
70D: Tesla in April replaced its $71,000 base Model S with a more competent
and more expensive all-wheel drive version called the 70D. The cheaper
version was largely passed over by buyers who opted for better-equipped
models that were pricier, and investors will want to know if the 70D has
helped address Tesla’s struggle to make inroads at the entry level. While
progress would be positive in relation to the auto maker’s attempt to
broaden its buyer base, significant momentum at the bottom end could
indicate Tesla is cannibalizing higher-priced models, which would hurt the
company’s margins. The company’s drive to enrich the product mix is
driving Tesla’s 26% gross operating margin guidance.
MODEL X: Much of the enthusiasm surrounding Tesla’s stock price is related
to a new Model X SUV due to hit the market by July. The vehicle, long under
development, is aimed at the market’s sweet spot (SUV and crossover sales
are up 13% in the U.S. through April). Despite delays, the Model X built up
20,000 reservations through February. Tesla will be pressed for updated
delivery and projections, and hints on pricing and launch plans. Timeliness
is important because the Model X underpins Tesla’s 55,000 sales target for
2015.
EURO IMPACT: The strong dollar hit first-quarter earnings and revenue for a
collection of U.S. auto makers and parts suppliers, and Tesla likely felt
the pain as well. Tesla guided earlier in the quarter that the weak euro in
January already crimped gross margin by 2 percentage points, and the
continued decline for the rest of the quarter was expected to add further
pressure. Tesla could tack on another price increase in Europe to offset the
pain.
CHINA: Auto makers have been rushing to China for decades, so Tesla’s
ambitious plan to enter the world’s biggest auto market by volume in 2014
was seen as a no-brainer. But the drive hasn’t gone according to plan, with
sales volumes missing initial expectations. Tesla Chief Executive Elon Musk
recently implemented a management shuffle and boosted efforts to add more
superchargers, and the first-quarter report could indicate whether deeper
measures are needed. Streamlining in China could help prop up gross
operating margins.
CASH: Tesla continued burning cash in the fourth quarter, including $86
million in net cash outflows, and forecasted $1.5 billion in capital
expenditures (roughly half of 2014 revenue). With operating expenses growing
at a double-digit-percentage pace and revenue growth clocking only modest
momentum, questions about whether Mr. Musk’s $1.9 billion Dec. 31 cash
cushion – down from $2.3 billion Sept. 30, 2014 — is big enough will arise
. | c********r
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